Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

MESA · FLIGHT YV 6125 LANDED 4:31 PM CT, ~7 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, September 30 Today

YV 6125 · IAH → MCI

took off 3:00 PM CT · landed 4:31 PM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Wed 4:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±1 pts +9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ 0.3 in of rain forecast at MCI that day

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ MCI usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MCI (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling5,500 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.34 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YV 6125 · IAH → MCI

Odds over time