Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

MESA · FLIGHT YV 6163 LANDED 9:28 AM CT, ~2 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, September 30 Today

YV 6163 · ELP → IAH

took off 7:02 AM MT · landed 9:28 AM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Wed 5:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ YV's recent on-time record

↑ IAH is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 7am departures from ELP are usually not late

Weather at each end

ELP (origin) Gusts26 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

IAH (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YV 6163 · ELP → IAH

Odds over time