YV 6164 · IAH → OKC

took off 12:28 PM CT · landed 1:25 PM CT (scheduled 12:19 PM CT → 1:54 PM CT)

Forecast issued Wed 4:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at OKC more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to OKC?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 30 kt, 0.5 in of rain forecast at OKC that day

↑ 12pm departures from IAH are often late

↑ IAH is busy at that time

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Arrivals into OKC at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

OKC (destination) Gusts30 kt Ceiling2,500 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.47 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YV 6164 · IAH → OKC

Odds over time

How late did it get to OKC?