YV 6167 · IAH → MEM

departs 6:16 PM CT · arrives 8:06 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 PM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at MEM more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MEM?

On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 6pm departures from IAH are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MEM

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

MEM (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YV 6167 · IAH → MEM

Odds over time

How late will it get to MEM?