Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

MESA · FLIGHT YV 6178 IN THE AIR (OFF 10:06 AM CT, ETA 11:00 AM CT) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, September 30 Today

YV 6178 · IAH → MFE

took off 10:06 AM CT · expected to land 11:00 AM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Wed 9:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at MFE more than 15 minutes late?

12% chance · ±0 pts −18 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 10am departures from IAH are often late

↑ Other factors

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Arrivals into MFE at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts26 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

MFE (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling1,900 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YV 6178 · IAH → MFE

Odds over time