YV 6187 · IAH → SAT

took off 12:32 PM CT · landed 1:13 PM CT (scheduled 12:14 PM CT → 1:22 PM CT)

Forecast issued Wed 1:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to SAT?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 12pm departures from IAH are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Other factors

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Arrivals into SAT at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts26 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

SAT (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YV 6187 · IAH → SAT

Odds over time

How late did it get to SAT?