Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 3304 LANDED 9:47 AM ET, ~2 MIN EARLY · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, September 30 Today

YX 3304 · SDF → PIT

took off 7:36 AM ET · landed 9:47 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Wed 4:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at PIT more than 15 minutes late?

7% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ SDF is prone to delays

↑ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.13 mi forecast at PIT that day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SDF

↓ YX's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

SDF (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility6 mi Precipnone

PIT (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.13 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 3304 · SDF → PIT

Odds over time