YX 3309 · PIT → GSP

departs 7:09 PM ET · arrives 8:54 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at GSP more than 15 minutes late?

10% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to GSP?

On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 7pm departures from PIT are often late

↑ Arrivals into GSP at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at GSP

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

PIT (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.13 mi Precipnone

GSP (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 3309 · PIT → GSP

Odds over time

How late will it get to GSP?