tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: FAA flight plans.

REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 3466 PROBABLY LANDED (THE FAA HASN'T CONFIRMED THE LANDING TIME)

YX 3466 · YYZ → IAD

took off 8:06 PM EDT · probably landed (not confirmed) (scheduled 7:41 PM EDT → 9:15 PM ET)
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 2h after departure
Arrive at IAD more than 15 minutes late?
13% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 1.0d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to IAD?

  1. On time or early
    83%
  2. 15–30 min late
    5%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    3%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    3%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.