YX 3537 · PWM → EWR

departs 8:09 AM ET · arrives 9:52 AM ET

Forecast issued Wed 5:00 AM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?

6% chance · ±1 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to EWR?

On time or early
93%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ EWR is busy at that time

↓ 8am departures from PWM are usually not late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR

Weather at each end

PWM (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling1,833 ft Visibility6 mi Precipnone

EWR (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling2,900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 3537 · PWM → EWR

Odds over time

How late will it get to EWR?