YX 3560 · PIT → EWR

took off 11:44 AM ET · landed 12:46 PM ET (scheduled 9:12 AM ET → 10:43 AM ET)

Forecast issued Wed 7:00 PM ET · 10h after departure

Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to EWR?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
✓

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.13 mi forecast at PIT that day

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ EWR is busy at that time

↓ This flight has been late 8% of the time recently

↓ YX's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

PIT (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.13 mi Precipnone

EWR (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling2,600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 3560 · PIT → EWR

Odds over time

How late did it get to EWR?