Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 4355 LANDED 8:22 AM ET, ~10 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, September 30 Today

YX 4355 · LGA → DTW

took off 7:04 AM ET · landed 8:22 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Wed 7:00 PM ET · 12h after departure

Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↑ Other factors

↑ LGA is busy at that time

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into DTW at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DTW (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 4355 · LGA → DTW

Odds over time