YX 4571 · PWM → LGA

took off 11:14 AM ET · expected to land 12:07 PM ET (scheduled 11:09 AM ET → 12:46 PM ET)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to LGA?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late

↑ PWM is prone to delays

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA

↓ YX's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

PWM (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling2,033 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

LGA (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 4571 · PWM → LGA

Odds over time

How late will it get to LGA?