Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 4683 LANDED 9:57 AM ET, ~8 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, September 30 Today

YX 4683 · IND → PHL

took off 8:31 AM ET · landed 9:57 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Wed 7:00 PM ET · 10h after departure

Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?

9% chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ PHL is busy at that time

↑ PHL is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at IND

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

IND (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PHL (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 4683 · IND → PHL

Odds over time