tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: FAA flight plans.

REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 4696 PROBABLY LANDED (THE FAA HASN'T CONFIRMED THE LANDING TIME)
Yesterday

YX 4696 · LGA → MEM

took off 8:22 PM ET · probably landed (not confirmed) (scheduled 8:17 PM ET → 10:11 PM CT)
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 2h after departure
Arrive at MEM more than 15 minutes late?
16% chance · ±1 pts +3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 2.8d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to MEM?

  1. On time or early
    83%
  2. 15–30 min late
    7%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    5%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    2%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.