YX 5647 · BOS → SAV

took off 12:10 PM ET · landed 2:11 PM ET (scheduled 11:51 AM ET → 2:36 PM ET)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 10h after departure

Arrive at SAV more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to SAV?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at BOS that day

↑ BOS is prone to delays

↑ 11am departures from BOS are often late

↓ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at SAV that day

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.02 in

SAV (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility0.75 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 5647 · BOS → SAV

Odds over time

How late did it get to SAV?