YX 5678 · BOS → PIT

departs 8:15 AM ET · arrives 10:19 AM ET

Forecast issued Tue 9:00 PM ET · 11h before departure

Arrive at PIT more than 15 minutes late?

8% chance · ±2 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PIT?

On time or early
91%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at PIT that day

↓ PIT usually runs smoothly

↓ Arrivals into PIT at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

PIT (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.3 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 5678 · BOS → PIT

Odds over time

How late will it get to PIT?