YX 5680 · BOS → PIT

took off 4:46 PM ET · expected to land 6:01 PM ET (scheduled 4:15 PM ET → 6:23 PM ET)

Forecast issued Wed 4:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at PIT more than 15 minutes late?

<1% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to PIT?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 4pm departures from BOS are often late

↑ BOS is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into PIT at that hour are often late

↓ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.13 mi forecast at PIT that day

↓ YX's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.02 in

PIT (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.13 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 5680 · BOS → PIT

Odds over time

How late will it get to PIT?