Schedule: FAA flight plans.

REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 5680 PROBABLY LANDED (THE FAA HASN'T CONFIRMED THE LANDING TIME)

Wednesday, September 30 Yesterday

YX 5680 · PIT → BOS

took off 7:52 PM ET · probably landed (not confirmed) (scheduled 6:39 PM ET → 8:38 PM ET)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to BOS?

On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late

↑ 6pm departures from PIT are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ YX's recent on-time record

↓ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.13 mi forecast at PIT that day

Weather at each end

PIT (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.13 mi Precipnone

BOS (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 5680 · PIT → BOS

Odds over time

How late will it get to BOS?