Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 5788 LANDED 8:35 AM ET, ~13 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, September 30

YX 5788 · PIT → JFK

took off 7:33 AM ET · landed 8:35 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 14h after departure

Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.13 mi forecast at PIT that day

↑ JFK is prone to delays

↓ YX's recent on-time record

↓ 7am departures from PIT are usually not late

Weather at each end

PIT (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.13 mi Precipnone

JFK (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 5788 · PIT → JFK

Odds over time