YX 5842 · DTW → PIT

departs 8:31 AM ET · arrives 9:46 AM ET

Forecast issued Tue 5:00 PM ET · 16h before departure

Arrive at PIT more than 15 minutes late?

6% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PIT?

On time or early
93%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 8am departures from DTW are often late

↑ DTW is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW

↓ YX's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PIT (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility2 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 5842 · DTW → PIT

Odds over time

How late will it get to PIT?