AA 1106 · ORD → DFW

departs 11:02 AM CT · arrives 1:30 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 11:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

91% chance · ±8 pts +10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
7%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
40%
Cancelled
18%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,167 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 2.0 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at ORD that day

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.01 in

DFW (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility1 mi Precip6.43 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1106 · ORD → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?