AA 1162 · ORD → BOS

departs 3:59 PM CT · arrives 7:51 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?

54% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to BOS?

On time or early
45%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
30%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft, 0.8 in of rain forecast at ORD that day

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 3pm departures from ORD are often late

↓ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.48 in

BOS (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1162 · ORD → BOS

Odds over time

How late will it get to BOS?