AA 123 · DFW → OGG

departs 11:20 AM CT · arrives 2:10 PM HT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at OGG more than 15 minutes late?

91% chance · ±0 pts +38 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to OGG?

On time or early
9%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
28%
Over 2 hours late
46%
Cancelled
5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,167 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 2.0 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↑ OGG is prone to delays

↓ Other factors

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility1 mi Precip4.00 in

OGG (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 123 · DFW → OGG

Odds over time

How late will it get to OGG?