AA 1260 · RNO → DFW

departs 7:26 AM PT · arrives 12:49 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 7:00 AM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

80% chance · ±0 pts +39 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
15%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
24%
Over 2 hours late
17%
Cancelled
27%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,167 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 2.0 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at RNO

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

RNO (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DFW (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.84 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1260 · RNO → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?