AA 1277 · ORD → DEN

departs 12:10 PM CT · arrives 2:07 PM MT

Forecast issued Thu 7:00 AM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

56% chance · ±0 pts +17 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
44%
15–30 min late
29%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
19%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at ORD that day

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 12pm departures from ORD are often late

↓ Other factors

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.88 in

DEN (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1277 · ORD → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?