AA 1329 · DFW → FAT

departs 12:28 PM CT · arrives 1:58 PM PT

Forecast issued Thu 1:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at FAT more than 15 minutes late?

78% chance · ±5 pts +22 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to FAT?

On time or early
17%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
21%
Over 2 hours late
27%
Cancelled
23%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Visibility down to 1 mi, 6.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↑ 12pm departures from DFW are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at FAT

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling1,600 ft Visibility1 mi Precip5.38 in

FAT (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1329 · DFW → FAT

Odds over time

How late will it get to FAT?