Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1371 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 1 Today

AA 1371 · DFW → DSM

departs 10:05 PM CT · arrives 11:58 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 7:00 AM ET · 16h before departure

Arrive at DSM more than 15 minutes late?

84% chance · ±4 pts +23 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DSM?

On time or early
10%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
31%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
37%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,167 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 2.0 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 10pm departures from DFW are often late

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ DSM usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.84 in

DSM (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.41 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1371 · DFW → DSM

Odds over time

How late will it get to DSM?