tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1378 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 1378 · PHX → TUS

departs 5:05 PM MT · arrives 5:53 PM MT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 2h after departure
Arrive at TUS more than 15 minutes late?
36% chance · ±1 pts +1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 2.9d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands Now

How late will it get to TUS?

  1. On time or early
    63%
  2. 15–30 min late
    14%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    12%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    6%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.