Schedule: FAA flight plans.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1402 SCHEDULED
Yesterday

AA 1402 · TPA → PHX

departs 6:15 PM ET · arrives 7:46 PM MT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Odds over time

Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
35% chance · ±1 pts −18 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 1.1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to PHX?

  1. On time or early
    64%
  2. 15–30 min late
    11%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    7%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    11%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    5%
  6. Cancelled
    2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.