tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1433 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Yesterday

AA 1433 · LAX → ORD

departs 5:50 PM PT · arrives 12:07 AM CT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 1h after departure
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
41% chance · ±1 pts +4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 2.8d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to ORD?

  1. On time or early
    57%
  2. 15–30 min late
    11%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    15%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    8%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    5%
  6. Cancelled
    4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.