AA 1483 · DFW → SEA

departs 5:32 PM CT · arrives 7:41 PM PT

Forecast issued Thu 5:00 AM ET · 14h before departure

Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?

83% chance · ±5 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SEA?

On time or early
13%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
22%
Over 2 hours late
14%
Cancelled
22%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,167 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 2.0 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day

↑ 5pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SEA

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling1,167 ft Visibility2 mi Precip2.05 in

SEA (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1483 · DFW → SEA

Odds over time

How late will it get to SEA?