AA 1548 · DFW → PHX

departs 1:33 PM CT · arrives 2:19 PM MT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?

68% chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to PHX?

On time or early
30%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
23%
Over 2 hours late
13%
Cancelled
6%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Visibility down to 1 mi, 6.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day

↑ 1pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1 mi Precip4.07 in

PHX (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1548 · DFW → PHX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHX?