AA 1552 · DFW → COS

departs 8:30 AM CT · arrives 9:45 AM MT

Forecast issued Thu 9:00 AM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at COS more than 15 minutes late?

34% chance · ±1 pts −7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to COS?

On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
6%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,167 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 2.0 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.44 in

COS (destination) Gusts28 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1552 · DFW → COS

Odds over time

How late will it get to COS?