Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1587SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tomorrow
AA 1587 · PHX → JFK
departs 9:50 PM MT · arrives 5:47 AM ET
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 27h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
25%chance · ±0 pts+10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to JFK?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.