Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1592SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 1592 · BOS → ORD
departs 5:38 PM ET · arrives 7:59 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 9:00 PM ET · 45h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
58%chance · ±8 pts−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
41%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
16%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.