Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1595 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 1

AA 1595 · DFW → BOS

departs 10:22 AM CT · arrives 3:10 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 6:00 PM ET · 41h before departure

Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?

44% chance · ±2 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BOS?

On time or early
50%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
11%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, 1.9 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ This flight has been late 27% of the time recently

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ BOS usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility3 mi Precip1.93 in

BOS (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility2 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1595 · DFW → BOS

Odds over time

How late will it get to BOS?