AA 1631 · SAT → DFW

departs 9:32 AM CT · arrives 10:49 AM CT

Forecast issued Thu 4:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

83% chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
11%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
24%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
22%
Cancelled
33%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,167 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 2.0 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day

↑ 1.9 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at SAT that day

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↓ SAT usually runs smoothly

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

SAT (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceiling1,567 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precip6.53 in

DFW (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1 mi Precip4.20 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1631 · SAT → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?