AA 1658 · ELP → DFW

departs 12:13 PM MT · arrives 3:10 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 7:00 PM ET · 19h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

77% chance · ±6 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
18%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
33%
Over 2 hours late
11%
Cancelled
22%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 2.4 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ELP

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ELP (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DFW (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility3 mi Precip2.37 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1658 · ELP → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?