Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1689SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 1689 · CMH → PHX
departs 6:00 PM ET · arrives 7:09 PM MT
Forecast issued Tue 6:00 PM ET · 48h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
17%chance · ±3 pts−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.