Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1799 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 1

AA 1799 · DFW → EGE

departs 12:16 PM CT · arrives 1:32 PM MT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 9h after departure

Arrive at EGE more than 15 minutes late?

76% chance · ±0 pts +13 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to EGE?

On time or early
20%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
23%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
15%
Cancelled
16%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Visibility down to 1 mi, 6.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 12pm departures from DFW are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at EGE

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1 mi Precip4.07 in

EGE (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1799 · DFW → EGE

Odds over time

How late will it get to EGE?