Schedule: FAA flight plans.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1861
SCHEDULED
Yesterday
AA 1861 · ORD → SAN
departs 7:09 PM CT · arrives 9:53 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 2h after departure
Odds over time
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
65%
chance · ±0 pts
+11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
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How late will it get to SAN?
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On time or early
35%
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15–30 min late
12%
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30 min–1 hour late
21%
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1–2 hours late
25%
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Over 2 hours late
6%
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Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.