AA 1993 · YYZ → DFW

departs 3:08 PM EDT · arrives 5:31 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 5:00 AM ET · 10h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

78% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
20%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
33%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
32%
Cancelled
10%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,167 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 2.0 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↓ Other factors

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

YYZ (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

DFW (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling1,167 ft Visibility2 mi Precip2.05 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1993 · YYZ → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?