Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2014 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 1

AA 2014 · FLL → DFW

departs 4:26 PM ET · arrives 6:39 PM CT

Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 44h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

58% chance · ±8 pts −8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
36%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
28%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
14%
Cancelled
14%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, 1.9 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ 0.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at FLL that day

↑ This flight has been late 44% of the time recently

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ FLL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

FLL (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling2,600 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.39 in

DFW (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility3 mi Precip1.93 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2014 · FLL → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?