Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2015SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tomorrow
AA 2015 · MCO → PHX
departs 7:30 AM ET · arrives 9:02 AM MT
Forecast issued Wed 4:00 AM ET · 28h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
11%chance · ±1 pts−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.