AA 2091 · DFW → RDU

departs 12:09 PM CT · arrives 4:09 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 12:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?

95% chance · ±2 pts +31 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to RDU?

On time or early
4%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
19%
Over 2 hours late
25%
Cancelled
24%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Visibility down to 1 mi, 6.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day

↑ 12pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at RDU

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling1,600 ft Visibility1 mi Precip6.50 in

RDU (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2091 · DFW → RDU

Odds over time

How late will it get to RDU?