Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2117 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 1

AA 2117 · DFW → MCO

departs 2:40 PM CT · arrives 6:31 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 41h before departure

Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?

71% chance · ±2 pts −8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MCO?

On time or early
26%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
11%
Cancelled
11%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, 1.6 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ This flight has been late 42% of the time recently

↑ 2pm departures from DFW are often late

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility3 mi Precip1.58 in

MCO (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.06 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2117 · DFW → MCO

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCO?