AA 2165 · ORD → BDL

departs 7:35 PM CT · arrives 10:53 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 AM ET · 11h before departure

Arrive at BDL more than 15 minutes late?

68% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BDL?

On time or early
31%
15–30 min late
26%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
35%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at ORD that day

↑ 7pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ BDL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.20 in

BDL (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2165 · ORD → BDL

Odds over time

How late will it get to BDL?