Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2192 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow

AA 2192 · LAX → MCO

departs 1:54 PM PT · arrives 9:59 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 1:00 AM ET · 40h before departure

Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±2 pts −7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MCO?

On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 38% of the time recently

↑ 1pm departures from LAX are often late

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ MCO usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility4 mi Precipnone

MCO (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling4,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.06 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2192 · LAX → MCO

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCO?