AA 2304 · DFW → ICT

departs 2:20 PM CT · arrives 3:51 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at ICT more than 15 minutes late?

65% chance · ±0 pts −13 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to ICT?

On time or early
32%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
26%
Over 2 hours late
12%
Cancelled
10%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 4.7 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day

↑ Cloud base down to 900 ft, 0.7 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at ICT that day

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↓ ICT usually runs smoothly

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1 mi Precip4.07 in

ICT (destination) Gusts36 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precip1.81 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2304 · DFW → ICT

Odds over time

How late will it get to ICT?